Check my numbers.
Every dataset, every model, every figure in the book: ready to download and run.
My book argues that democracy, as we know it, has no future, and it makes that argument on public data: 22 statistical models, 25 figures, and 25 tables built from Freedom House, V-Dem, the World Bank, and the other sources named in the text. The final chapter states exactly what would have to happen over the coming decade for the argument to fail.
This page keeps that promise. Below is the complete replication bundle: the assembled panels, the Python scripts that run every model in Appendix C, the raw results, and the charts. Run them. If you find an error, write to me. I mean that.
“I would rather be checked than believed.”
From Appendix A, Shackles of DemocracyThe complete replication bundle
data/
The country-year panels and merged analysis files: 202 countries, 1972 to 2025.
scripts/
The code for all 22 models (Python: pandas, statsmodels, linearmodels).
results/
The raw regression output behind the book’s tables.
figures/
The 25 charts exactly as they appear in the book.
README
How to match each script to each model in Appendix C.
Found an error?
Write to me: alkhalifa.sager@gmail.com. I mean that.
Shackles of Democracy
Why Democracies Will Deceive Their People to Survive the Century
The decline of democracy is real, measurable, and accelerating; its deepest cause is internal; and the century’s competition will push democratic governments toward manufacturing the consent they can no longer earn. The second half designs what should come after, and tells you how to prove it wrong.
Dr. Saqer AlKhalifa 